to the book by Tesfay Atsbeha.
In the face of this state of affairs, what should we do? Following my introductory statements, I will forward some theses and suggestions for discussion among my compatriots. I will discuss the 2005 elections, the question of the incarcerated political leaders and other activists, the power base of Meles Zenawi, the political elite (multiethnic parties and ethnic parties in Tigray and Oromia) and I will finally make an attempt at final observation.
2. The 2005 Elections
Elections are genuine where the people are not coerced to elect somebody they do not want or prevented from electing somebody they want to; and when the people possess institutional means to enforce their verdict.
The struggle of the Ethiopian people for democracy and equality in the past fifteen years is entering its decisive stage. The Ethiopian people opted for change and elected the opposition in the May 2005 elections. Nevertheless, every step of the election processes revealed the hypocrisy of those who made up the Ethiopian Constitution of 1994 and the shortcomings of the party system in the country.
With the growth of the opposition, especially the multiethnic political groups, the TPLF and its marionettes in the EPRDF resorted to stir up inter-ethnic hostilities. The Prime Minister himself told the people and the world that genocide on the Rwandan dimension would take place in Ethiopia if the EPRDF loses power. The Rwandan genocide was carried out by the Interhawme Militia supported by the state. Genocide could be carried out by governments directly or by proxy forces. The CUD is made up of various multiethnic political groups such as AEUO, EDUP (Medhin), EDL and Rainbow Democracy and Social Justice. It recently formed an all-Ethiopia party, CUDP. Prime Minister Meles Zenawi was quick to condemn it as Amhara chauvinists without even touching the program and the ethnic composition of the leadership and its constituency. For the TPLF not all political parties with political programs for all-Ethiopia are welcomed.
The UEDF is one of the major contending parties in the May 2005 elections. Most of its member organizations are ethnic based. The main members of the UEDF with national programs, such as the EPRP and the MEISONE, are denied recognition by the state and therefore not registered as political parties in Ethiopia. Many members of their leadership are in Ethiopian jails for more than a decade. The Ethiopian regime did not recognize the TAND, also a member organization in the EUDF. It means many leading members of the EUDF could not run for their parties in the recent elections.
The TPLF has never accepted free elections whether during the armed struggle nor as a ruling party. The former members of the Central Committee of the TPLF who were purged by Meles Zenawi in 2001, later admitted that the TPLF leadership drew a lesson from the 1978 internal organizational crisis and decided to prevent any person who entertains a different opinion from the leadership from being delegated to a congress and elected to the Central Committee unless he/she repents (Hizbawi, May 2004, volume 7)
Free and fair elections cannot be conducted under a dictatorship. The opposition and the Ethiopian intelligentsia have been demanding for the reform of the ENEB and admittance of domestic and international election observers until the eve of the elections. The Prime Minister rejected the reform of the ENEB and the admittance of domestic election observers to "avoid embarrassment". He did in fact reluctantly accept to invite international election observers knowing he was very well able to manipulate the election any way.
The 2005 election was challenging. The opposition groups demonstrated maturity and skills. Many small groups closed ranks to form two big election alliances against the ruling party. They won international support to press the Prime Minster to allow international election observers. They organized mammoth demonstration rallies at home. They were also able to organize Ethiopians in exile in support committees and task forces for their cause. They successfully challenged the party of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi.
Despite the unfavorable structural problems, the opposition decided to take part in the elections. The overwhelming majority of the Ethiopian people made use of their rights, long over-due, to elect their leaders. To begin with, the election results for Addis Ababa were, surprisingly enough, made public. More than 85% of the votes in the capital went to the opposition winning all the seats. Members of the ruling party in high government positions like the minister of information and the minister of defense as well as the Vice Prime Minister and many more lost the votes to the opposition candidates in the regions. In order to lay the ground for manipulation the ruling party immediately declared itself the winner before the ENEB received the results. The ruling party thus rigged the election and the filing of grievances by both the ruling and opposition parties followed.
The dispute was supposed to be handled by the ENEB. The members of the ENEB were handpicked by Meles Zenawi a decade ago. The massive turn out at the polls and the ignominious defeat of the TPLF/EPRDF rendered the ENEB almost unfit to cover the fraud by the ruling party. So the ENEB accepted only 10% of the grievances filed by the opposition while it accorded more than 90% of the ruling party. It became very evident that the ENEB is none other than an organ of the ruling party.
The next step for the opposition was to take the case to the court. Courts are supposed to be neutral and independent. However, the court and the ENEB are closely connected. The chairman and the Supreme Court is at the same time the chairman of the ENEB. All attempts by the opposition in the court failed. The proceedings exposed the dependence of the judicature of the ruling party and few Ethiopians could expect to obtain justice. It is becoming increasingly clear to all that the courts in Ethiopia are not neutral and independent.
Meles Zenawi refused to admit defeat and give up power; he also rejected the offer by the opposition to share power and finally he blocked parliamentary opposition too. He introduced new parliamentary rules whereby one needs a majority of the parliamentarians to put forward a bill for deliberation. This rule denies parliamentary opposition parties any meaningful participation. It was an indication that the so-called People’s House of Representative is nothing but a branch of the TPLF/EPRDF.
Thousands of Ethiopians in many parts of the country took to the streets to protest the rigging of the elections and to show their solidarity with the opposition. The people reaffirmed their vote for the opposition at the polls through massive demonstrations in the capital and in several regions of the country. The regime of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi mowed the peaceful demonstrators down en masse and banned tens of thousands of them to pest-infested remote areas of the country. Further, Meles Zenawi put many leaders of the CUD and the editors of the free press in jail and he is hunting the dissidents. He shamelessly accused them of treason and genocide. (See part two).
The 2005 election came to a conclusion with the constituting of the ‘new parliament’, election of the Prime Minister and appointment of his ministers. The regime told the elected members of the opposition that they did not have a status of a fraction and their party (CUDP) did not exist. These manipulative activities shattered all democratic rhetoric of the TPLF. The party that boasts to have introduced democracy in Ethiopia shamelessly imprisoned almost the entire leadership of the opposition, many of whom are elected parliamentarians. It also imprisoned almost all editors of the major newspapers, and news magazines and banned demonstrations.
The elections were a referendum on the 14-year reign of the TPLF/EPRDF, which is characterized by deepening poverty, bloodshed, wars, loss of territories and loss of access to international waters. The people of Ethiopia rejected the Prime Minister and his politics. Now, the TPLF seems to go back to the early 1990s and raise the issue of Amhara domination and chauvinism as a common enemy. It wanted to reinvigorate its ethnic political mobilization against ‘Amhara domination’. This policy will not serve the interests of Meles Zenawi because more people are aware of his sinister motives.
3. The question of the incarcerated political leaders and other activists
(To be continued)