By Eskinder Nega
| August 26, 2011
Nero was famously eccentric in Roman times. He longed to be remembered
for his theatrical abilities rather than leadership of one of the
world’s greatest empires. But his other quirks were more horrifying
than amusing. He imagined, for example, an implausible bed---yes,
bed--- which would commit murder. And there were the psychotic
eccentricities of Russia’s Ivan the terrible who, as legend has it,
had an elephant killed for refusing to bow to him.
Modern times’ eccentrics have generally been less deadly. There is,
for instance, Mehran Karimi Nasseri, the Iranian asylum seeker who
lived in the departure lounge of Charles de Gaulle’s Airport for many
years. (He inspired Tom Hank’s fictional 2004 movie, The Terminal.)
At the opposite end of the pole, though, the modern age also has
Libya’s ominous Muammar Gadhafi as a world famous eccentric.
Gadhafi was born in the great Saharan desert in 1942. His parents were
Arabized Berbers. Libya was under the inept rule of Fascist Italy back
then. But twenty years later, in 1961, with the first wave of
decolonization on the verge of sweeping Africa, Libya was hastily
transformed into an independent, and hopefully conservative, Kingdom
by Western powers. But with next door revolutionary Egypt exciting
passions across the Arab world, a revolution in Libya was only
inevitable from the very outset.
Inspired by the success of Egypt’s Nasser and his free officers in the
mid-fifties, radicalized young Arabs joined their countries’
militaries with the hope of eventually using them as revolutionary
weapons, too.
And so a Nasser-awed, aspiring revolutionary Gadhafi, one of many
like-minded youth in the Middle East, made his way to his nation’s
military academy, where he was promptly accepted. Eight years later he
was unexpectedly running Libya. Even he hadn’t planned it this way,
though. It was a feat worthy more of fate than earthly being. Gadhafi
was only 27.
His eccentricities were not really evident at first. But in
retrospect, perhaps there was an early sign at Nasser’s funeral.
Nasser died of a sudden heart attack only a year after Gadhafi’s
accession to power in 1969. The Arab world was stunned. He had just
presided over a pan-Arabic summit. Tens of thousands poured
spontaneously into the streets all over the Arab world wailing in
utter grief. On the day of the funeral, five million came out to pay
their respects. And while tears rolled down the faces of PLO’s
Chairman Arafat and Jordan’s King Hussein, the Arab world’s newest
leader, Gadhafi, fainted twice. An unusually passionate man had come
to power in Libya.
Over the next forty years he would go on to amuse the world with his
all-female bodyguards; his “voluptuous Ukrainian nurses;” his
outrageous statements (“HIV is a peace virus;”) pitched tents from
where he conducted state business; and, of course, his memorably
colorful attires.
But there were also his less amusing internal polices and
blood-tainted foreign adventures. Though himself one of the Berbers,
North Africa’s indigenous ethnic groups, he systematically suppressed
their languages and cultures. (He called it “poison.”)He killed
internal dissidents at will; those who escaped to exile were
assassinated. His intelligence agents planted bombs on Pan AM flight
103, which blew over Lockerbie, in Scotland, killing hundreds.
Obviously, the value of life carried little weight with him.
This reckless disregard for human life was again apparent in the early
days of February 2011 when serious protests, inspired by the Arab
Spring, against his forty years rule broke out in several cities. He
struck with vengeance. And when protests threatened to overwhelm him,
he recruited mercenaries to shed more blood. He counted on the potency
of mass murder and apathy of the international community to prevail.
But he calculated wrong.
Ethiopia’s Meles Zenawi, who now leads Africa’s largest dictatorship,
and who many suspect is calculating as Gaddafi did at first, should
take serious note.
Killings enraged Libyans as it did Tunisians and Egyptians before
them. Inexplicably and suddenly massacre failed to terrorize the young
any more. Despite Gadhafi’s assertion that only a drugged youth could
have refused to succumb to live bullets, hope is really what had
fueled the protests.
Eric Hoffer had famously argued that it was hope not oppression that
had made revolutions possible. And indeed neither Egyptians nor
Libyans had more reason to rebel in 2011 than they did for decades.
Too few were any more capable of imagining life free from the
oppressive status-quo. Too many had been co-opted; many more had
simply learned how to muddle through. But events in Tunisia changed
everything. Change was proved possible. The people mattered, after
all. And hope was born in the Arab world. There was then really
nothing Gadhafi could have done to fundamentally change the course of
events. Even without NATO’s involvement he could only have delayed not
prevented his regime’s eventual demise. Hope is insuppressible. The
surprise swift fall of Tripoli into rebel hands, despite numerous
predications of a stalemate, underscores this fact.
Hope will come to sub-Sahara’s remaining dictatorships, too. The Arab
Spring has already brought it to their doorsteps. It will not wait
forever to get in. No one knows which sub-Saharan dictatorship will
relent first. But that is almost irrelevant. What matters is that its
spread will be unavoidable once it begins. The triumph of hope in only
one sub-Saharan dictatorship will beget a continent wide African
Spring, hopefully all peaceful. And as Egypt, the Arab world’s biggest
dictatorship during Mubarak’s reign, was the Arab Spring’s golden
prize, so will Ethiopia, sub-Sahara’s biggest dictatorship, be the
golden prize for an African Spring. There couldn’t have been an Arab
Spring without Egypt. There will be no African Spring without
Ethiopia.
Hopefully, Meles understands this and is willing to do his country and
Africa one big favor. When the time arrives, the inevitable must not
be futilely resisted. This is the crucial lesson that should be
learned from Gadhafi’s needlessly destructive finale. Ethiopia must
and should avoid violence. If Ethiopia shuns violence so will most of
sub-Sahara Africa. And only then will the advent of the African Spring
be even better news than that of the Arab Spring.
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The writer, prominent Ethiopian journalist Eskinder Nega, has been in and out of prison several times while he was editor of some of the newspapers shut down during the 2005 post-electioncrackdown. After nearly six years of tug-of-war with the 'system,' Eskinder, his award-winning wife Serkalem Fassil, and other colleagues have yet to win government permission to return to their jobs in the publishing industry. Email: serk27@gmail.com
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